WORKING PAPER · NO. 2020-112 Dynamic Trade-offs and Labor Supply under the CARES Act by Corina Boar and Simon Mongey
This paper looks at the CATRES act and shows that despite the extra unemployment payments, most people did not refuse to come back to work, no matter what some politicians “believe.”
Abstract
The CARES Act resulted in many unemployed workers receiving benefits that exceeded wages at their previous job. Given this, would an unemployed worker reject an offer to return to their former job at the same wage? Qualitatively, we provide a very simple dynamic model that incorporates four reasons the answer could be ‘no’: (i) the temporary nature of the CARES Act, (ii) uncertainty that their return-to-work offer might expire, (iii) search frictions, and (iv) wage losses out of unemployment in a recession. Quantitatively, when evaluated under empirically relevant parameters, we find it unlikely a worker would reject an offer to return to work at the same wage. We show special cases where this is not true and relate these to anecdotal evidence.